Al Okhdood 0–0 Damac: Result & Stats | Pro League

Al Okhdood

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Damac

2/13/2025

Pro League · Round 20Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Al Okhdood37%

×Draw28%

Damac35%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al OkhdoodExpected goals in this matchDamac

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.20

1.16

Al Okhdood

1.20

Damac

1.16

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 5 home / 12 away

0.96

creates per match

0.79

1.52

allows per match

1.44

creates per match

Al Okhdood

0.96

Damac

0.79

allows per match

Al Okhdood

1.52

Damac

1.44

+0.44scores more than expected

finishing

+0.13scores more than expected

finishing

Al Okhdood+0.44scores more

Damac+0.13scores more

Total goals

Under58
Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Okhdood ↓

Damac →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

68%32%2.5

42%58%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Al Okhdood or draw

65%

Al Okhdood or Damac

72%

Draw or Damac

63%

Winning margin

Al Okhdood wins by 2+

16%

Damac wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Al Okhdood 1+ goals

70%

Al Okhdood 2+ goals

34%

Al Okhdood 3+ goals

12%

Damac 1+ goals

69%

Damac 2+ goals

32%

Damac 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Al Okhdood (draw refunded)

51%

Damac (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Okhdood at home — creates 0.96, concedes 1.52 · 5 matches

Damac away — creates 0.79, concedes 1.44 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Okhdood attack 0.96 + Damac defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.20

Damac attack 0.79 + Al Okhdood defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Al Okhdood scores more

37%

level

28%

Damac scores more

35%

Al Okhdood at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Al Okhdood will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

F. Niță

Damac · G

8.2

Match Events

12'

Meshari Fahad Al-Nemer

39'

Hazzaa Ahmed Al Ghamdi← G. NKoudou

45+5'

Ghassan

57'

Petros

63'

Christian Bassogog

66'

Yaseen Al Zubaidi← O. Barry

66'

K. Musona← Ghassan Hawsawi

66'

Abdulrahman Al Obaid← Tariq Abdullah

67'

Noor Al Rashidi← Dhari Al Anazi

80'

Mohammed Al Saeed

81'

Diego Ferreira← Mohammed Al Saeed

82'

Ayman Fallatah← F. Kamano

86'

Saleh Al Abbas← S. Godwin

86'

Mohammed Al Jahif← C. Bassogog

87'

Ayman Fallatah

90+10'

Naif Assery

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AlDamac

Overview

70%Possession30%

15Total Shots5

7Corners0

17Fouls5

Shots

15Total Shots5

6On Target3

6Off Target2

3Blocked0

10Inside Box4

5Outside Box1

Passing

70%Possession30%

606Total Passes271

540Accurate Passes199

89%Pass Accuracy73%

Goalkeeping

3Saves6

Discipline

17Fouls5

5Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards1

4Offsides0