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Al Jazeera vs Al Wihdat — League #387 2026

Al Jazeera
Al Jazeera
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Al Wihdat
Al Wihdat
Unknown 73'
9/12/2025League #387League #387 · Round 6Amman International Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Al Jazeera12%
×Draw19%
Al Wihdat69%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Al Jazeera
0.78
Al Wihdat
2.16

Al Wihdat creates 177% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

creates per match

Al Jazeera
0.57
Al Wihdat
1.89

allows per match

Al Jazeera
2.43
Al Wihdat
1.00

finishing

Al Jazeera+0.00on par
Al Wihdat+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Jazeera ↓

Al Wihdat →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–111%
0–212%
0–39%
0–45%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–210%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–13%
2–24%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (12%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Al Jazeera or draw
31%
Al Jazeera or Al Wihdat
81%
Draw or Al Wihdat
88%

Winning margin

Al Jazeera wins by 2+
4%
Al Wihdat wins by 2+
45%

Team goals

Al Jazeera 1+ goals
54%
Al Jazeera 2+ goals
18%
Al Jazeera 3+ goals
4%
Al Wihdat 1+ goals
88%
Al Wihdat 2+ goals
63%
Al Wihdat 3+ goals
36%

Draw no bet

Al Jazeera (draw refunded)
15%
Al Wihdat (draw refunded)
85%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Jazeera at home — creates 0.57, concedes 2.43 · 7 matches

Al Wihdat away — creates 1.89, concedes 1.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Jazeera attack 0.57 + Al Wihdat defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.78

Al Wihdat attack 1.89 + Al Jazeera defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 2.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Al Jazeera scores more
12%
level
19%
Al Wihdat scores more
69%

Al Wihdat at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Al Wihdat will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

73'
Al
Al
Amjad Abu Tu'aimeh
Manager: Amjad Abu Tu'aimeh
Fadi Abu Latifa
Manager: Fadi Abu Latifa

League #387: Al Jazeera 0–1 Al Wihdat

Al Wihdat beat Al Jazeera 1-0 in League #387 on September 12, 2025.

Goals: ? (73').

The match was played at Amman International Stadium in ʿAmmān (Amman).