Al-Hilal Omdurman II 0–0 Al Shorta: Result & Stats

Al-Hilal Omdurman II

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Al Shorta

1/10/2026

Sudani Premier League · Round 2Al Hilal Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Al-Hilal Omdurman II49%

×Draw28%

Al Shorta23%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al-Hilal Omdurman IIExpected goals in this matchAl Shorta

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.36

0.83

Al-Hilal Omdurman II

1.36

Al Shorta

0.83

Al-Hilal Omdurman II creates 64% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 12 away

1.90

creates per match

1.17

0.50

allows per match

0.83

creates per match

Al-Hilal Omdurman II

1.90

Al Shorta

1.17

allows per match

Al-Hilal Omdurman II

0.50

Al Shorta

0.83

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Al-Hilal Omdurman II+0.00on par

Al Shorta+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al-Hilal Omdurman II ↓

Al Shorta →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Al-Hilal Omdurman II or draw

77%

Al-Hilal Omdurman II or Al Shorta

72%

Draw or Al Shorta

51%

Winning margin

Al-Hilal Omdurman II wins by 2+

24%

Al Shorta wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Al-Hilal Omdurman II 1+ goals

74%

Al-Hilal Omdurman II 2+ goals

39%

Al-Hilal Omdurman II 3+ goals

16%

Al Shorta 1+ goals

56%

Al Shorta 2+ goals

20%

Al Shorta 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Al-Hilal Omdurman II (draw refunded)

68%

Al Shorta (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al-Hilal Omdurman II at home — creates 1.90, concedes 0.50 · 10 matches

Al Shorta away — creates 1.17, concedes 0.83 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al-Hilal Omdurman II attack 1.90 + Al Shorta defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.36

Al Shorta attack 1.17 + Al-Hilal Omdurman II defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Al-Hilal Omdurman II scores more

49%

level

28%

Al Shorta scores more

23%

Al-Hilal Omdurman II at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Al-Hilal Omdurman II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Al-Hilal Omdurman II vs Al Shorta

Al-Hilal Omdurman II and Al Shorta drew 0-0 in Sudani Premier League on January 10, 2026.

The match was played at Al Hilal Stadium in Omdurman.

Al-Hilal Omdurman II vs Al Shorta — Sudani Premier League 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Al-Hilal Omdurman II vs Al Shorta