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Al Hilal Manaqil vs Al Rabta Kosti — Sudani Premier League 2025

Al Hilal Manaqil
Al Hilal Manaqil
FT
1 – 1
Al Rabta Kosti
Al Rabta Kosti
2/8/2026Sudani Premier LeagueSudani Premier League · Round 9

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Al Hilal Manaqil43%
×Draw33%
Al Rabta Kosti24%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Al Hilal Manaqil
1.03
Al Rabta Kosti
0.70

Al Hilal Manaqil creates 47% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 17 away

creates per match

Al Hilal Manaqil
1.00
Al Rabta Kosti
0.65

allows per match

Al Hilal Manaqil
0.75
Al Rabta Kosti
1.06

finishing

Al Hilal Manaqil+0.00on par
Al Rabta Kosti+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Under
  • Under75
  • Over25

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

68%No
  • No68
  • Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Hilal Manaqil ↓

Al Rabta Kosti →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–018%
0–112%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–113%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (18%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
82%18%1.5
52%48%2.5
25%75%3.5
10%90%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Al Hilal Manaqil or draw
76%
Al Hilal Manaqil or Al Rabta Kosti
67%
Draw or Al Rabta Kosti
57%

Winning margin

Al Hilal Manaqil wins by 2+
17%
Al Rabta Kosti wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Al Hilal Manaqil 1+ goals
64%
Al Hilal Manaqil 2+ goals
28%
Al Hilal Manaqil 3+ goals
9%
Al Rabta Kosti 1+ goals
50%
Al Rabta Kosti 2+ goals
16%
Al Rabta Kosti 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Al Hilal Manaqil (draw refunded)
64%
Al Rabta Kosti (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Hilal Manaqil at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Al Rabta Kosti away — creates 0.65, concedes 1.06 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Hilal Manaqil attack 1.00 + Al Rabta Kosti defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.03

Al Rabta Kosti attack 0.65 + Al Hilal Manaqil defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Al Hilal Manaqil scores more
43%
level
33%
Al Rabta Kosti scores more
24%

Al Hilal Manaqil at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Al Hilal Manaqil will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Sudani Premier League: Al Hilal Manaqil 1–1 Al Rabta Kosti

Al Hilal Manaqil and Al Rabta Kosti drew 1-1 in Sudani Premier League on February 8, 2026.