Al-Hazm 2–1 Al Kholood: Result & Stats | Pro League

Al-Hazm

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Al Kholood

A. Al Dhuwayhi 86'

N. Al Habashi 9'

R. Enrique 44'

3/12/2026

Pro League · Round 26Al-Hazem Club Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Al-Hazm46%

×Draw23%

Al Kholood31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al-HazmExpected goals in this matchAl Kholood

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.79

1.45

Al-Hazm

1.79

Al Kholood

1.45

Al-Hazm creates 23% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 8 away

1.69

creates per match

1.46

1.44

allows per match

1.89

creates per match

Al-Hazm

1.69

Al Kholood

1.46

allows per match

Al-Hazm

1.44

Al Kholood

1.89

-0.02on par

finishing

+0.04on par

finishing

Al-Hazm-0.02on par

Al Kholood+0.04on par

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al-Hazm ↓

Al Kholood →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Al-Hazm or draw

69%

Al-Hazm or Al Kholood

77%

Draw or Al Kholood

54%

Winning margin

Al-Hazm wins by 2+

25%

Al Kholood wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Al-Hazm 1+ goals

83%

Al-Hazm 2+ goals

53%

Al-Hazm 3+ goals

26%

Al Kholood 1+ goals

77%

Al Kholood 2+ goals

42%

Al Kholood 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Al-Hazm (draw refunded)

59%

Al Kholood (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al-Hazm at home — creates 1.69, concedes 1.44 · 12 matches

Al Kholood away — creates 1.46, concedes 1.89 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al-Hazm attack 1.69 + Al Kholood defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.79

Al Kholood attack 1.46 + Al-Hazm defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Al-Hazm scores more

46%

level

23%

Al Kholood scores more

31%

Al-Hazm at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Al-Hazm will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

19

N. Al Habashi

Al-Hazm · M

8.5

Match Events

9'

N. Al Habashi↳ A. Bah

44'

R. Enrique↳ A. Al Aliwa

48'

Fábio Martins

57'

Abdelmounaim BoutouilPenalty confirmed

67'

M. Sawan← A. Al Dawsari

69'

Saud Al Rashed

73'

A. Sayoud← F. Martins

73'

A. Al Harbi← S. Al Rashid

78'

A. Al Dhuwayhi← E. Mokwana

78'

A. Al Nakhli← A. Al Shamrani

85'

Ramiro Enrique

86'

A. Al Dhuwayhi

88'

Abdulaziz Al-Harbi

89'

Y. Oumarou← O. Al Somah

89'

K. N'Doram← I. Kortajarena

89'

R. Solan← S. Al Shehri

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Al-HazmAl

Overview

45%Possession55%

11Total Shots7

2.05Expected Goals (xG)0.98

6Corners5

12Fouls6

Shots

11Total Shots7

3On Target4

5Off Target3

3Blocked0

5Inside Box6

6Outside Box1

Passing

45%Possession55%

341Total Passes412

283Accurate Passes344

83%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

-0.45Goals Prevented-0.45

Discipline

12Fouls6

3Yellow Cards1

1Offsides2