Al Fujairah SC 0–0 Al Thaid: Result & Stats

Al Fujairah SC

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Al Thaid

5/10/2026

Division 1 · Round 27Fujairah Club Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 72+ matches

Al Fujairah SC47%

×Draw25%

Al Thaid28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al Fujairah SCExpected goals in this matchAl Thaid

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.59

1.18

Al Fujairah SC

1.59

Al Thaid

1.18

Al Fujairah SC creates 35% more chances

Season form · 72 home / 100 away

1.68

creates per match

1.10

1.26

allows per match

1.51

creates per match

Al Fujairah SC

1.68

Al Thaid

1.10

allows per match

Al Fujairah SC

1.26

Al Thaid

1.51

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Al Fujairah SC+0.00on par

Al Thaid+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Fujairah SC ↓

Al Thaid →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Al Fujairah SC or draw

72%

Al Fujairah SC or Al Thaid

75%

Draw or Al Thaid

53%

Winning margin

Al Fujairah SC wins by 2+

24%

Al Thaid wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Al Fujairah SC 1+ goals

80%

Al Fujairah SC 2+ goals

47%

Al Fujairah SC 3+ goals

21%

Al Thaid 1+ goals

69%

Al Thaid 2+ goals

33%

Al Thaid 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Al Fujairah SC (draw refunded)

62%

Al Thaid (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Fujairah SC at home — creates 1.68, concedes 1.26 · 72 matches

Al Thaid away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.51 · 100 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Fujairah SC attack 1.68 + Al Thaid defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.59

Al Thaid attack 1.10 + Al Fujairah SC defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Al Fujairah SC scores more

47%

level

25%

Al Thaid scores more

28%

Al Fujairah SC at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Al Fujairah SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff