Al Borouq 0–0 Al Sadaqa: Result & Stats

Al Borouq

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Al Sadaqa

2/21/2026

Premier League · Group C - 10

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Al Borouq38%

×Draw34%

Al Sadaqa29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al BorouqExpected goals in this matchAl Sadaqa

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.93

0.77

Al Borouq

0.93

Al Sadaqa

0.77

Al Borouq creates 21% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 58 away

0.56

creates per match

0.66

0.88

allows per match

1.29

creates per match

Al Borouq

0.56

Al Sadaqa

0.66

allows per match

Al Borouq

0.88

Al Sadaqa

1.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Al Borouq+0.00on par

Al Sadaqa+0.00on par

Total goals

Under76
Over24

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No67
Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Borouq ↓

Al Sadaqa →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–018%

0–114%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–08%

2–16%

2–22%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (18%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

82%18%1.5

51%49%2.5

24%76%3.5

9%91%4.5

3%97%

Double chance

Al Borouq or draw

71%

Al Borouq or Al Sadaqa

66%

Draw or Al Sadaqa

62%

Winning margin

Al Borouq wins by 2+

14%

Al Sadaqa wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Al Borouq 1+ goals

61%

Al Borouq 2+ goals

24%

Al Borouq 3+ goals

7%

Al Sadaqa 1+ goals

54%

Al Sadaqa 2+ goals

18%

Al Sadaqa 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Al Borouq (draw refunded)

57%

Al Sadaqa (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

19%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Borouq at home — creates 0.56, concedes 0.88 · 16 matches

Al Sadaqa away — creates 0.66, concedes 1.29 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Borouq attack 0.56 + Al Sadaqa defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 0.93

Al Sadaqa attack 0.66 + Al Borouq defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Al Borouq scores more

38%

level

34%

Al Sadaqa scores more

29%

Al Borouq at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Al Borouq will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff