Al Baten 0–0 Al Taee: Result & Stats | Pro League

Al Baten

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Al Taee

9/16/2021

Pro League · Round 5Al-Batin FC Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 47+ matches

Al Baten45%

×Draw25%

Al Taee30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al BatenExpected goals in this matchAl Taee

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.55

1.20

Al Baten

1.55

Al Taee

1.20

Al Baten creates 29% more chances

Season form · 61 home / 47 away

1.23

creates per match

0.83

1.56

allows per match

1.87

creates per match

Al Baten

1.23

Al Taee

0.83

allows per match

Al Baten

1.56

Al Taee

1.87

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Al Baten+0.00on par

Al Taee+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Baten ↓

Al Taee →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Al Baten or draw

70%

Al Baten or Al Taee

75%

Draw or Al Taee

55%

Winning margin

Al Baten wins by 2+

23%

Al Taee wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Al Baten 1+ goals

79%

Al Baten 2+ goals

46%

Al Baten 3+ goals

20%

Al Taee 1+ goals

70%

Al Taee 2+ goals

34%

Al Taee 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Al Baten (draw refunded)

61%

Al Taee (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Baten at home — creates 1.23, concedes 1.56 · 61 matches

Al Taee away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.87 · 47 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Baten attack 1.23 + Al Taee defence 1.87 → ÷2 → 1.55

Al Taee attack 0.83 + Al Baten defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Al Baten scores more

45%

level

25%

Al Taee scores more

30%

Al Baten at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Al Baten will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

Y. El Jebli

Al Baten · M

7.7

Match Events

28'

Mohammed Al-Aqel← Abdul Wahab Jafar

49'

Marcelo

56'

Dener

62'

Bader Nasser← Mohammed Naji

63'

Rakan Al-Shamlan← Hussain Al-Eisa

64'

Zakaria Al-Sudani

74'

Yousef Al-Shammari← Abdulaziz Damdam

75'

Mohammed Maran← C. Malele

76'

Amir Saâyoud

86'

Hassan Al-Jubairi

86'

Mohammed Al-Thani← K. Musona

87'

Abdulaziz Majrashi← Hassan Al Jubairi

90+1'

Abdulaziz Al-Aryani← Saqr Al-Enazi

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AlAl

Overview

55%Possession45%

12Total Shots6

5Corners5

10Fouls21

Shots

12Total Shots6

2On Target0

7Off Target3

3Blocked3

9Inside Box3

3Outside Box3

Passing

55%Possession45%

358Total Passes298

284Accurate Passes218

79%Pass Accuracy73%

Goalkeeping

0Saves2

Discipline

10Fouls21

1Yellow Cards4

0Offsides2