Al-Anwar 0–0 Military Union SC: Result & Stats

Al-Anwar

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Military Union SC

12/30/2025

Premier League · Group C - 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Al-Anwar26%

×Draw26%

Military Union SC48%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al-AnwarExpected goals in this matchMilitary Union SC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.02

1.50

Al-Anwar

1.02

Military Union SC

1.50

Military Union SC creates 47% more chances

Season form · 36 home / 11 away

1.31

creates per match

1.18

1.81

allows per match

0.73

creates per match

Al-Anwar

1.31

Military Union SC

1.18

allows per match

Al-Anwar

1.81

Military Union SC

0.73

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Al-Anwar+0.00on par

Military Union SC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al-Anwar ↓

Military Union SC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–112%

0–29%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–16%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Al-Anwar or draw

52%

Al-Anwar or Military Union SC

74%

Draw or Military Union SC

74%

Winning margin

Al-Anwar wins by 2+

9%

Military Union SC wins by 2+

24%

Team goals

Al-Anwar 1+ goals

64%

Al-Anwar 2+ goals

27%

Al-Anwar 3+ goals

8%

Military Union SC 1+ goals

78%

Military Union SC 2+ goals

44%

Military Union SC 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Al-Anwar (draw refunded)

35%

Military Union SC (draw refunded)

65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al-Anwar at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.81 · 36 matches

Military Union SC away — creates 1.18, concedes 0.73 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al-Anwar attack 1.31 + Military Union SC defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 1.02

Military Union SC attack 1.18 + Al-Anwar defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Al-Anwar scores more

26%

level

26%

Military Union SC scores more

48%

Military Union SC at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Military Union SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff