Al-Adalah 0–2 Dhamk: Result & Stats | Pro League

Al-Adalah

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Dhamk

Nono 58'

H. Soudani 45'

10/16/2022

Pro League · Round 8Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Al-Adalah37%

×Draw25%

Dhamk38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al-AdalahExpected goals in this matchDhamk

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.40

1.43

Al-Adalah

1.40

Dhamk

1.43

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 30 home / 111 away

1.00

creates per match

1.06

1.80

allows per match

1.80

creates per match

Al-Adalah

1.00

Dhamk

1.06

allows per match

Al-Adalah

1.80

Dhamk

1.80

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Al-Adalah+0.00on par

Dhamk+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al-Adalah ↓

Dhamk →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

54%46%3.5

31%69%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Al-Adalah or draw

62%

Al-Adalah or Dhamk

75%

Draw or Dhamk

63%

Winning margin

Al-Adalah wins by 2+

17%

Dhamk wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Al-Adalah 1+ goals

75%

Al-Adalah 2+ goals

41%

Al-Adalah 3+ goals

17%

Dhamk 1+ goals

76%

Dhamk 2+ goals

42%

Dhamk 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Al-Adalah (draw refunded)

49%

Dhamk (draw refunded)

51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al-Adalah at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.80 · 30 matches

Dhamk away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.80 · 111 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al-Adalah attack 1.00 + Dhamk defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.40

Dhamk attack 1.06 + Al-Adalah defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Al-Adalah scores more

37%

level

25%

Dhamk scores more

38%

Dhamk at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Dhamk will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

30

M. Zeghba

Dhamk · G

7.9

Match Events

3'

Hussain Alnattar

12'

Hassan Al Habib← Edson

28'

Abdullah Tarmin← Abdullah Al Hawsawi

45'

H. Soudani↳ Ahmed Al Zain

46'

Nasser Al Abdali← Arif Al Haydar

58'

Nono↳ Abdullah Al Ammar

61'

Abdullah Hadhereti← M. Angha

66'

Lautaro Palacios

73'

Abdulelah Al Shammry← Ahmed Al Zain

73'

Mansour Hamzi← Nono

77'

Abdulaziz Al Jamman← Fahad Al Harbi

77'

Abdularahman Al Hurib← Hussain Al Nattar

81'

Abdulelah Alshamary

84'

Reinaldo LenisPenalty cancelled

87'

Ryan Al Mousa← H. Soudani

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Al-AdalahDhamk

Overview

47%Possession53%

6Total Shots11

8Corners3

15Fouls11

Shots

6Total Shots11

3On Target4

2Off Target5

1Blocked2

5Inside Box8

1Outside Box3

Passing

47%Possession53%

359Total Passes425

290Accurate Passes356

81%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

Discipline

15Fouls11

2Yellow Cards1

1Offsides2