Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Akron vs Dinamo Makhachkala — Premier League 2018

Akron
Akron
Preview
16:00
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala
3/13/2027Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 20Samara Arena
Big match
40%
Akron
model favours
40%27%33%

Dinamo Makhachkala score first in only 24% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

Akron40%
×Draw27%
Dinamo Makhachkala33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Akron
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.17

Akron creates 14% more chances

Season form · 32 home / 31 away

creates per match

Akron
1.25
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.52

allows per match

Akron
1.81
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.42

finishing

Akron+0.00on par
Dinamo Makhachkala+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Akron ↓

Dinamo Makhachkala →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Akron or draw
67%
Akron or Dinamo Makhachkala
73%
Draw or Dinamo Makhachkala
60%

Winning margin

Akron wins by 2+
18%
Dinamo Makhachkala wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Akron 1+ goals
74%
Akron 2+ goals
38%
Akron 3+ goals
15%
Dinamo Makhachkala 1+ goals
69%
Dinamo Makhachkala 2+ goals
33%
Dinamo Makhachkala 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Akron (draw refunded)
55%
Dinamo Makhachkala (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Akron at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.81 · 32 matches

Dinamo Makhachkala away — creates 0.52, concedes 1.42 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Akron attack 1.25 + Dinamo Makhachkala defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.33

Dinamo Makhachkala attack 0.52 + Akron defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Akron scores more
40%
level
27%
Dinamo Makhachkala scores more
33%

Akron at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Akron will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Dinamo Makhachkala fall short of their xG (0.4 vs 0.9 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Akron
Balanced
Dinamo Makhachkala
Direct / counter-attacking
47%Possession44%
74%Pass accuracy68%
11.1Shots10.6
1.58xGBiggest gap0.88
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
AkronDinamo Makhachkala

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings

4
Akron
4
Draws
0
Dinamo Makhachkala
Avg goals: 2BTTS: 63%
1–11–11–01–13–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Akron
DLWWL
Makhachkala
WDLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Akron host Dinamo Makhachkala

March 13, 2027: Akron take on Dinamo Makhachkala in Premier League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Akron host Dinamo Makhachkala at Samara Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.