Aizawl 0–0 Dempo: Result & Stats | I-League

Aizawl

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Dempo

11/23/2024

I-League · Round 1Rajiv Gandhi Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Aizawl41%

×Draw27%

Dempo32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AizawlExpected goals in this matchDempo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.35

1.16

Aizawl

1.35

Dempo

1.16

Aizawl creates 16% more chances

Season form · 59 home / 18 away

1.37

creates per match

1.00

1.31

allows per match

1.33

creates per match

Aizawl

1.37

Dempo

1.00

allows per match

Aizawl

1.31

Dempo

1.33

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Aizawl+0.00on par

Dempo+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Aizawl ↓

Dempo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Aizawl or draw

68%

Aizawl or Dempo

73%

Draw or Dempo

59%

Winning margin

Aizawl wins by 2+

19%

Dempo wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Aizawl 1+ goals

74%

Aizawl 2+ goals

39%

Aizawl 3+ goals

15%

Dempo 1+ goals

69%

Dempo 2+ goals

32%

Dempo 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Aizawl (draw refunded)

56%

Dempo (draw refunded)

44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Aizawl at home — creates 1.37, concedes 1.31 · 59 matches

Dempo away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.33 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Aizawl attack 1.37 + Dempo defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.35

Dempo attack 1.00 + Aizawl defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Aizawl scores more

41%

level

27%

Dempo scores more

32%

Aizawl at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Aizawl will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'

Z. Zothanpuia

66'

A. Morajkar← N. Dias

66'

L. Rane← K. Hoble

81'

M. Tlangte← A. Lalrochana

81'

L. Lalbiaknia← Zothanpuia

90'

L. Sailung

90+3'

S. Rawat← S. Doungel

Aizawl

Dempo

89

16

37

5

27

▼

Dias

39

▼

Hoble

11

Harji

15

Bagkar

23

▼

25

14

1

26

14

16

19

6

45

▼

Zothanpui

8

Duhvela

11

▼

Lalrochan

10

Vanlalvun

38

Lalrinfel

Manager: B. Stojkoski

81'▲M. Tlangte←▼A. Lalrochana

81'▲L. Lalbiaknia←▼Zothanpuia

Aizawl substitutes

15Tlangte7Lalbiaknia39Lalruatthara20Lalramchhana24Lalmuanpuia22Zomuansanga4Zomuanpuia23Vanlalawmpuia21Lalrinhlua37Lalmuanawma

Manager: S. Naik

66'▲A. Morajkar←▼N. Dias

66'▲L. Rane←▼K. Hoble

90+3'▲S. Rawat←▼S. Doungel

Dempo substitutes

20Morajkar38Rane13Rawat21Mascarenhas17D'Costa3Pires1Chowdhury19Sharma12Colaco

I-League: Aizawl 0–0 Dempo

Aizawl and Dempo drew 0-0 in I-League on November 23, 2024.

The match was played at Rajiv Gandhi Stadium in Aizawl.

Aizawl vs Dempo — I-League 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

I-League: Aizawl 0–0 Dempo