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AFC Wimbledon vs Huddersfield — League One 2018

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
Preview
15:00
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
3/6/2027League OneLeague One · Round 34The Cherry Red Records Stadium
47%
Huddersfield
model favours
28%24%47%

AFC Wimbledon sit 19, Huddersfield 9 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 11+ matches

AFC Wimbledon28%
×Draw24%
Huddersfield47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

AFC Wimbledon
1.24
Huddersfield
1.67

Huddersfield creates 35% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 14 away

creates per match

AFC Wimbledon
1.22
Huddersfield
1.68

allows per match

AFC Wimbledon
1.66
Huddersfield
1.26

finishing

AFC Wimbledon-0.22scores less
Huddersfield-0.04on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AFC Wimbledon ↓

Huddersfield →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–19%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

AFC Wimbledon or draw
53%
AFC Wimbledon or Huddersfield
76%
Draw or Huddersfield
72%

Winning margin

AFC Wimbledon wins by 2+
12%
Huddersfield wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

AFC Wimbledon 1+ goals
71%
AFC Wimbledon 2+ goals
35%
AFC Wimbledon 3+ goals
13%
Huddersfield 1+ goals
81%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
50%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

AFC Wimbledon (draw refunded)
38%
Huddersfield (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AFC Wimbledon at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.66 · 11 matches

Huddersfield away — creates 1.68, concedes 1.26 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AFC Wimbledon attack 1.22 + Huddersfield defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.24

Huddersfield attack 1.68 + AFC Wimbledon defence 1.66 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

AFC Wimbledon scores more
28%
level
24%
Huddersfield scores more
47%

Huddersfield at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Huddersfield fall short of their xG (1.3 vs 1.8 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
AFC Wimbledon
Balanced
Huddersfield
Attack-heavy
47%Possession52%
68%Pass accuracy73%
10.6Shots12.6
1.16xGBiggest gap1.80
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
AFC WimbledonHuddersfield

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Wimbledon
DWLWL
Huddersfield
LLWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

AFC Wimbledon face Huddersfield (League One)

League One returns with AFC Wimbledon hosting Huddersfield. Match starts March 6, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

AFC Wimbledon host Huddersfield at The Cherry Red Records Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.