Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

AFC Hermannstadt vs Neftchi — Friendlies Clubs 2026

AFC Hermannstadt
AFC Hermannstadt
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Neftchi
Neftchi
1/11/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Fanatic Tour Belek Sport Center

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

AFC Hermannstadt69%
×Draw21%
Neftchi10%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

AFC Hermannstadt
1.81
Neftchi
0.50

AFC Hermannstadt creates 262% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 8 away

creates per match

AFC Hermannstadt
2.00
Neftchi
1.00

allows per match

AFC Hermannstadt
0.00
Neftchi
1.63

finishing

AFC Hermannstadt+0.00on par
Neftchi+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 59Over: 4159%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No: 67Yes: 3367%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AFC Hermannstadt ↓

Neftchi →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–15%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–19%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–016%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–15%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

AFC Hermannstadt or draw
90%
AFC Hermannstadt or Neftchi
79%
Draw or Neftchi
31%

Winning margin

AFC Hermannstadt wins by 2+
42%
Neftchi wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

AFC Hermannstadt 1+ goals
84%
AFC Hermannstadt 2+ goals
54%
AFC Hermannstadt 3+ goals
27%
Neftchi 1+ goals
39%
Neftchi 2+ goals
9%
Neftchi 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

AFC Hermannstadt (draw refunded)
88%
Neftchi (draw refunded)
12%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AFC Hermannstadt at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.00 · 3 matches

Neftchi away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AFC Hermannstadt attack 2.00 + Neftchi defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.81

Neftchi attack 1.00 + AFC Hermannstadt defence 0.00 → ÷2 → 0.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

AFC Hermannstadt scores more
69%
level
21%
Neftchi scores more
10%

AFC Hermannstadt at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "AFC Hermannstadt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

AFC
Neftchi
Marius Constantin Măldărăşanu
Manager: Marius Constantin Măldărăşanu
V. Levchenko
Manager: V. Levchenko

Match Recap: AFC Hermannstadt vs Neftchi

AFC Hermannstadt and Neftchi drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 11, 2025.

The match was played at Fanatic Tour Belek Sport Center in Belek.