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AFC Eskilstuna vs Enköping — Ettan - Norra 2019

AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna
Preview
14:00
Enköping
Enköping
11/8/2026Ettan - NorraEttan - Norra · Norra - 30Tunavallen
42%
AFC Eskilstuna
model favours
42%24%35%

Enköping score first in only 23% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

AFC Eskilstuna42%
×Draw24%
Enköping35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

AFC Eskilstuna
1.65
Enköping
1.48

AFC Eskilstuna creates 11% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 21 away

creates per match

AFC Eskilstuna
1.68
Enköping
1.38

allows per match

AFC Eskilstuna
1.59
Enköping
1.62

finishing

AFC Eskilstuna+0.00on par
Enköping+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AFC Eskilstuna ↓

Enköping →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

AFC Eskilstuna or draw
65%
AFC Eskilstuna or Enköping
76%
Draw or Enköping
58%

Winning margin

AFC Eskilstuna wins by 2+
21%
Enköping wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

AFC Eskilstuna 1+ goals
81%
AFC Eskilstuna 2+ goals
49%
AFC Eskilstuna 3+ goals
23%
Enköping 1+ goals
77%
Enköping 2+ goals
43%
Enköping 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

AFC Eskilstuna (draw refunded)
55%
Enköping (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AFC Eskilstuna at home — creates 1.68, concedes 1.59 · 37 matches

Enköping away — creates 1.38, concedes 1.62 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AFC Eskilstuna attack 1.68 + Enköping defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.65

Enköping attack 1.38 + AFC Eskilstuna defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

AFC Eskilstuna scores more
42%
level
24%
Enköping scores more
35%

AFC Eskilstuna at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "AFC Eskilstuna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • AFC Eskilstuna have won 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • Enköping win just 26% against the top half (vs 59% against the bottom)
  • 40% of Enköping’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 3.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Eskilstuna
WDWWW
Enköping
LWWDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: AFC Eskilstuna host Enköping

November 8, 2026: AFC Eskilstuna take on Enköping in Ettan - Norra. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

AFC Eskilstuna host Enköping at Tunavallen.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.