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AFC Eskilstuna vs Enköping — Friendlies Clubs 2026

AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna
FT
3 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Enköping
Enköping
2/15/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

AFC Eskilstuna62%
×Draw21%
Enköping17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

AFC Eskilstuna
2.04
Enköping
0.98

AFC Eskilstuna creates 108% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 6 away

creates per match

AFC Eskilstuna
2.25
Enköping
0.83

allows per match

AFC Eskilstuna
1.13
Enköping
1.83

finishing

AFC Eskilstuna+0.00on par
Enköping+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AFC Eskilstuna ↓

Enköping →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

AFC Eskilstuna or draw
83%
AFC Eskilstuna or Enköping
79%
Draw or Enköping
38%

Winning margin

AFC Eskilstuna wins by 2+
38%
Enköping wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

AFC Eskilstuna 1+ goals
87%
AFC Eskilstuna 2+ goals
60%
AFC Eskilstuna 3+ goals
33%
Enköping 1+ goals
62%
Enköping 2+ goals
26%
Enköping 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

AFC Eskilstuna (draw refunded)
78%
Enköping (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AFC Eskilstuna at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.13 · 8 matches

Enköping away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AFC Eskilstuna attack 2.25 + Enköping defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 2.04

Enköping attack 0.83 + AFC Eskilstuna defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

AFC Eskilstuna scores more
62%
level
21%
Enköping scores more
17%

AFC Eskilstuna at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "AFC Eskilstuna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: AFC Eskilstuna vs Enköping

AFC Eskilstuna beat Enköping 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 15, 2026.