AFC Amsterdam 5–0 SVV Scheveningen: Result & Stats

AFC Amsterdam

FT

5 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

SVV Scheveningen

M. Jesse 85'

M. Hoek 80'

M. Klopper 59', 9'

S. de Mooij 39'

10/19/2024

Tweede Divisie · Round 10Sportpark Goed Genoeg

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 81+ matches

AFC Amsterdam49%

×Draw24%

SVV Scheveningen27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AFC AmsterdamExpected goals in this matchSVV Scheveningen

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.73

1.21

AFC Amsterdam

1.73

SVV Scheveningen

1.21

AFC Amsterdam creates 43% more chances

Season form · 99 home / 81 away

1.97

creates per match

1.15

1.26

allows per match

1.49

creates per match

AFC Amsterdam

1.97

SVV Scheveningen

1.15

allows per match

AFC Amsterdam

1.26

SVV Scheveningen

1.49

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

AFC Amsterdam+0.00on par

SVV Scheveningen+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AFC Amsterdam ↓

SVV Scheveningen →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

34%66%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

AFC Amsterdam or draw

73%

AFC Amsterdam or SVV Scheveningen

76%

Draw or SVV Scheveningen

51%

Winning margin

AFC Amsterdam wins by 2+

27%

SVV Scheveningen wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

AFC Amsterdam 1+ goals

82%

AFC Amsterdam 2+ goals

52%

AFC Amsterdam 3+ goals

25%

SVV Scheveningen 1+ goals

70%

SVV Scheveningen 2+ goals

34%

SVV Scheveningen 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

AFC Amsterdam (draw refunded)

65%

SVV Scheveningen (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AFC Amsterdam at home — creates 1.97, concedes 1.26 · 99 matches

SVV Scheveningen away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.49 · 81 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AFC Amsterdam attack 1.97 + SVV Scheveningen defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.73

SVV Scheveningen attack 1.15 + AFC Amsterdam defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

AFC Amsterdam scores more

49%

level

24%

SVV Scheveningen scores more

27%

AFC Amsterdam at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "AFC Amsterdam will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'

23'

27'

28'

39'

59'

M. Klopper↳ G. van Weerdenburg

66'

T. Linthorst

68'

J. Brute← B. Rog

68'

Y. Bouchnafa← G. Elvilia

69'

M. Eliasar← N. Benninga

69'

S. Ederveen← T. Linthorst

76'

M. Platje← W. Been

76'

M. Jesse← M. Klopper

80'

M. Hoek↳ G. van Weerdenburg

82'

M. Mengerink← S. de Mooij

85'

M. Jesse↳ M. Platje

AFC

SVV

1

4

5

14

2

3

6

23

▼

Rog

8

Kleef

18

▼

Doğan

11

▼

Elvilia

1

Zetten

3

Markiet

18

▼

Linthorst

15

A

Weerdenbu

5

Claver

8

⚽A

Hoek

6

▼

Benninga

16

⚽

▼

Mooij

14

⚽2

▼

Klopper

10

Greft

28

A

▼

Been

Manager: B. Nihom

69'▲M. Eliasar←▼N. Benninga

69'▲S. Ederveen←▼T. Linthorst

76'▲M. Platje←▼W. Been

76'▲M. Jesse←▼M. Klopper

82'▲M. Mengerink←▼S. de Mooij

AFC Amsterdam substitutes

24Eliasar4Ederveen7Platje11Jesse29Mengerink31Zijsling30Berghuis

Manager: J. Blok

27'▲M. de Niet←▼H. Doğan

68'▲J. Brute←▼B. Rog

68'▲Y. Bouchnafa←▼G. Elvilia

SVV Scheveningen substitutes

9Niet7Brute17Bouchnafa24Graaff30Buijs16Kogeldans

Tweede Divisie: AFC Amsterdam 5–0 SVV Scheveningen

AFC Amsterdam beat SVV Scheveningen 5-0 in Tweede Divisie on October 19, 2024.

Goals: M. Klopper (9', 59'), S. de Mooij (39'), M. Hoek (80'), M. Jesse (85').

The match was played at Sportpark Goed Genoeg in Amsterdam.

AFC Amsterdam vs SVV Scheveningen — Tweede Divisie 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Tweede Divisie: AFC Amsterdam 5–0 SVV Scheveningen