Scoreo

Aduana Stars vs Hohoe UnitedPremier League 2019

Aduana Stars
Aduana Stars
FT
00
HT: 00
Hohoe United
Hohoe United
2/22/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 23Agyeman Badu Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Aduana Stars54%
×Draw29%
Hohoe United16%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Aduana Stars
1.28
Hohoe United
0.56

Aduana Stars creates 129% more chances

Season form · 108 home / 13 away

creates per match

Aduana Stars
1.41
Hohoe United
0.54

allows per match

Aduana Stars
0.58
Hohoe United
1.15

finishing

Aduana Stars+0.00on par
Hohoe United+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Under
  • Under72
  • Over28

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Aduana Stars

Hohoe United
0
1
2
3
4
0
0016%
019%
022%
030%
040%
1
1020%
1111%
123%
131%
140%
2
2013%
217%
222%
230%
240%
3
306%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
402%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
55%45%2.5
28%72%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Aduana Stars or draw
84%
Aduana Stars or Hohoe United
71%
Draw or Hohoe United
46%

Winning margin

Aduana Stars wins by 2+
26%
Hohoe United wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Aduana Stars 1+ goals
72%
Aduana Stars 2+ goals
37%
Aduana Stars 3+ goals
14%
Hohoe United 1+ goals
43%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
11%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Aduana Stars (draw refunded)
77%
Hohoe United (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Aduana Stars at homecreates 1.41, concedes 0.58 · 108 matches

Hohoe United awaycreates 0.54, concedes 1.15 · 13 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Aduana Stars attack 1.41 + Hohoe United defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.28

Hohoe United attack 0.54 + Aduana Stars defence 0.58 → ÷2 → 0.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Aduana Stars scores more
54%
level
29%
Hohoe United scores more
16%

Aduana Stars at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Aduana Stars will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Aduana Stars 0–0 Hohoe United

Aduana Stars and Hohoe United drew 0-0 in Premier League on February 22, 2026.

The match was played at Agyeman Badu Stadium in Dormaa Ahenkro.