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Admira Wacker vs CS Universitatea Craiova — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Admira Wacker
Admira Wacker
CANC
15:00
CS Universitatea Craiova
CS Universitatea Craiova
7/1/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3BSFZ-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Admira Wacker31%
×Draw26%
CS Universitatea Craiova44%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Admira Wacker
1.19
CS Universitatea Craiova
1.47

CS Universitatea Craiova creates 24% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 4 away

creates per match

Admira Wacker
1.63
CS Universitatea Craiova
1.25

allows per match

Admira Wacker
1.69
CS Universitatea Craiova
0.75

finishing

Admira Wacker+0.00on par
CS Universitatea Craiova+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Admira Wacker ↓

CS Universitatea Craiova →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–28%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Admira Wacker or draw
56%
Admira Wacker or CS Universitatea Craiova
74%
Draw or CS Universitatea Craiova
69%

Winning margin

Admira Wacker wins by 2+
13%
CS Universitatea Craiova wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Admira Wacker 1+ goals
70%
Admira Wacker 2+ goals
33%
Admira Wacker 3+ goals
12%
CS Universitatea Craiova 1+ goals
77%
CS Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals
43%
CS Universitatea Craiova 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Admira Wacker (draw refunded)
41%
CS Universitatea Craiova (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Admira Wacker at home — creates 1.63, concedes 1.69 · 16 matches

CS Universitatea Craiova away — creates 1.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Admira Wacker attack 1.63 + CS Universitatea Craiova defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.19

CS Universitatea Craiova attack 1.25 + Admira Wacker defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Admira Wacker scores more
31%
level
26%
CS Universitatea Craiova scores more
44%

CS Universitatea Craiova at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "CS Universitatea Craiova will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Admira Wacker vs CS Universitatea Craiova — Match Preview

Admira Wacker face CS Universitatea Craiova on July 1, 2022 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Admira Wacker host CS Universitatea Craiova at BSFZ-Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.