Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Adama Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena — Premier League 2019

Adama Kenema
Adama Kenema
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Hadiya Hosaena
Hadiya Hosaena
5/29/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 32Adama Science and Technology University Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 101+ matches

Adama Kenema34%
×Draw31%
Hadiya Hosaena35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Adama Kenema
0.96
Hadiya Hosaena
0.99

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 101 home / 102 away

creates per match

Adama Kenema
1.02
Hadiya Hosaena
0.87

allows per match

Adama Kenema
1.11
Hadiya Hosaena
0.90

finishing

Adama Kenema+0.00on par
Hadiya Hosaena+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Adama Kenema ↓

Hadiya Hosaena →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–114%
0–27%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–014%
1–114%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Adama Kenema or draw
65%
Adama Kenema or Hadiya Hosaena
69%
Draw or Hadiya Hosaena
66%

Winning margin

Adama Kenema wins by 2+
12%
Hadiya Hosaena wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Adama Kenema 1+ goals
62%
Adama Kenema 2+ goals
25%
Adama Kenema 3+ goals
7%
Hadiya Hosaena 1+ goals
63%
Hadiya Hosaena 2+ goals
26%
Hadiya Hosaena 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Adama Kenema (draw refunded)
49%
Hadiya Hosaena (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
14%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Adama Kenema at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.11 · 101 matches

Hadiya Hosaena away — creates 0.87, concedes 0.90 · 102 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Adama Kenema attack 1.02 + Hadiya Hosaena defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 0.96

Hadiya Hosaena attack 0.87 + Adama Kenema defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 35%?"

Adama Kenema scores more
34%
level
31%
Hadiya Hosaena scores more
35%

Hadiya Hosaena at 35% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 35% does not mean "Hadiya Hosaena will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Adama Kenema 1–0 Hadiya Hosaena

Adama Kenema beat Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 in Premier League on May 29, 2025.

The match was played at Adama Science and Technology University Stadium in Adama.