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AC Horsens vs Kryvbas KR — Friendlies Clubs 2026

AC Horsens
AC Horsens
CANC
15:00
Kryvbas KR
Kryvbas KR
2/3/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

AC Horsens53%
×Draw23%
Kryvbas KR24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

AC Horsens
1.79
Kryvbas KR
1.11

AC Horsens creates 61% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 8 away

creates per match

AC Horsens
1.33
Kryvbas KR
1.00

allows per match

AC Horsens
1.22
Kryvbas KR
2.25

finishing

AC Horsens+0.00on par
Kryvbas KR+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AC Horsens ↓

Kryvbas KR →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

AC Horsens or draw
76%
AC Horsens or Kryvbas KR
77%
Draw or Kryvbas KR
47%

Winning margin

AC Horsens wins by 2+
30%
Kryvbas KR wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

AC Horsens 1+ goals
83%
AC Horsens 2+ goals
53%
AC Horsens 3+ goals
26%
Kryvbas KR 1+ goals
67%
Kryvbas KR 2+ goals
30%
Kryvbas KR 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

AC Horsens (draw refunded)
69%
Kryvbas KR (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AC Horsens at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

Kryvbas KR away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AC Horsens attack 1.33 + Kryvbas KR defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.79

Kryvbas KR attack 1.00 + AC Horsens defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

AC Horsens scores more
53%
level
23%
Kryvbas KR scores more
24%

AC Horsens at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "AC Horsens will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: AC Horsens host Kryvbas KR

February 3, 2024: AC Horsens take on Kryvbas KR in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

AC Horsens host Kryvbas KR at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.