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1980 Wien vs Stadlau — Landesliga - Wien 2019

1980 Wien
1980 Wien
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Stadlau
Stadlau
10/11/2025Landesliga - WienLandesliga - Wien · Wien - 9Franz Koci Anlage

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 47+ matches

1980 Wien48%
×Draw22%
Stadlau30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1980 Wien
1.94
Stadlau
1.50

1980 Wien creates 29% more chances

Season form · 47 home / 75 away

creates per match

1980 Wien
2.17
Stadlau
1.48

allows per match

1980 Wien
1.53
Stadlau
1.71

finishing

1980 Wien+0.00on par
Stadlau+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

1980 Wien ↓

Stadlau →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

1980 Wien or draw
70%
1980 Wien or Stadlau
78%
Draw or Stadlau
52%

Winning margin

1980 Wien wins by 2+
27%
Stadlau wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

1980 Wien 1+ goals
86%
1980 Wien 2+ goals
58%
1980 Wien 3+ goals
30%
Stadlau 1+ goals
78%
Stadlau 2+ goals
44%
Stadlau 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

1980 Wien (draw refunded)
61%
Stadlau (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

1980 Wien at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.53 · 47 matches

Stadlau away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.71 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

1980 Wien attack 2.17 + Stadlau defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.94

Stadlau attack 1.48 + 1980 Wien defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

1980 Wien scores more
48%
level
22%
Stadlau scores more
30%

1980 Wien at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "1980 Wien will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: 1980 Wien vs Stadlau

1980 Wien beat Stadlau 2-0 in Landesliga - Wien on October 11, 2025.

The match was played at Franz Koci Anlage in Wien.