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1960 Hanau vs Weidenhausen — Oberliga - Hessen 2020

1960 Hanau
1960 Hanau
FT
3 – 2
HT: 3 – 0
Weidenhausen
Weidenhausen
4/26/2026Oberliga - HessenOberliga - Hessen · Hessen - 29Herbert-Dröse-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

1960 Hanau53%
×Draw21%
Weidenhausen26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1960 Hanau
2.16
Weidenhausen
1.46

1960 Hanau creates 48% more chances

Season form · 52 home / 71 away

creates per match

1960 Hanau
1.83
Weidenhausen
1.45

allows per match

1960 Hanau
1.46
Weidenhausen
2.49

finishing

1960 Hanau+0.00on par
Weidenhausen+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

1960 Hanau ↓

Weidenhausen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

1960 Hanau or draw
74%
1960 Hanau or Weidenhausen
79%
Draw or Weidenhausen
47%

Winning margin

1960 Hanau wins by 2+
32%
Weidenhausen wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

1960 Hanau 1+ goals
88%
1960 Hanau 2+ goals
63%
1960 Hanau 3+ goals
36%
Weidenhausen 1+ goals
77%
Weidenhausen 2+ goals
43%
Weidenhausen 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

1960 Hanau (draw refunded)
67%
Weidenhausen (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

1960 Hanau at home — creates 1.83, concedes 1.46 · 52 matches

Weidenhausen away — creates 1.45, concedes 2.49 · 71 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

1960 Hanau attack 1.83 + Weidenhausen defence 2.49 → ÷2 → 2.16

Weidenhausen attack 1.45 + 1960 Hanau defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

1960 Hanau scores more
53%
level
21%
Weidenhausen scores more
26%

1960 Hanau at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "1960 Hanau will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: 1960 Hanau vs Weidenhausen

1960 Hanau beat Weidenhausen 3-2 in Oberliga - Hessen on April 26, 2026.

The match was played at Herbert-Dröse-Stadion in Hanau.