Scoreo

1960 Hanau vs Eintracht StadtallendorfOberliga - Hessen 2020

10/12/2025Oberliga - HessenOberliga - Hessen · Hessen - 12Herbert-Dröse-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

1960 Hanau40%
×Draw24%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf37%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1960 Hanau
1.60
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
1.53

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 52 home / 85 away

creates per match

1960 Hanau
1.83
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
1.60

allows per match

1960 Hanau
1.46
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
1.36

finishing

1960 Hanau+0.00on par
Eintracht Stadtallendorf+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

1960 Hanau

Eintracht Stadtallendorf
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
017%
025%
033%
041%
1
107%
1111%
128%
134%
142%
2
206%
219%
227%
233%
241%
3
303%
315%
324%
332%
341%
4
401%
412%
421%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

1960 Hanau or draw
63%
1960 Hanau or Eintracht Stadtallendorf
76%
Draw or Eintracht Stadtallendorf
60%

Winning margin

1960 Hanau wins by 2+
20%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

1960 Hanau 1+ goals
80%
1960 Hanau 2+ goals
47%
1960 Hanau 3+ goals
22%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf 1+ goals
78%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf 2+ goals
45%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

1960 Hanau (draw refunded)
52%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

1960 Hanau at homecreates 1.83, concedes 1.46 · 52 matches

Eintracht Stadtallendorf awaycreates 1.60, concedes 1.36 · 85 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

1960 Hanau attack 1.83 + Eintracht Stadtallendorf defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.60

Eintracht Stadtallendorf attack 1.60 + 1960 Hanau defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

1960 Hanau scores more
40%
level
24%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf scores more
37%

1960 Hanau at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "1960 Hanau will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Hessen: 1960 Hanau 1–0 Eintracht Stadtallendorf

1960 Hanau beat Eintracht Stadtallendorf 1-0 in Oberliga - Hessen on October 12, 2025.

The match was played at Herbert-Dröse-Stadion in Hanau.