Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

1. Maj Ruma vs Omladinac NB — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

1. Maj Ruma
1. Maj Ruma
FT
1 – 4
HT: 1 – 1
Omladinac NB
Omladinac NB
4/13/2024Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 23Stadion Maj Ruma

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 72+ matches

1. Maj Ruma40%
×Draw29%
Omladinac NB31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1. Maj Ruma
1.18
Omladinac NB
1.00

1. Maj Ruma creates 18% more chances

Season form · 72 home / 103 away

creates per match

1. Maj Ruma
1.25
Omladinac NB
1.09

allows per match

1. Maj Ruma
0.90
Omladinac NB
1.10

finishing

1. Maj Ruma+0.00on par
Omladinac NB+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

1. Maj Ruma ↓

Omladinac NB →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–111%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

1. Maj Ruma or draw
69%
1. Maj Ruma or Omladinac NB
71%
Draw or Omladinac NB
60%

Winning margin

1. Maj Ruma wins by 2+
17%
Omladinac NB wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

1. Maj Ruma 1+ goals
69%
1. Maj Ruma 2+ goals
33%
1. Maj Ruma 3+ goals
12%
Omladinac NB 1+ goals
63%
Omladinac NB 2+ goals
26%
Omladinac NB 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

1. Maj Ruma (draw refunded)
56%
Omladinac NB (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

1. Maj Ruma at home — creates 1.25, concedes 0.90 · 72 matches

Omladinac NB away — creates 1.09, concedes 1.10 · 103 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

1. Maj Ruma attack 1.25 + Omladinac NB defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.18

Omladinac NB attack 1.09 + 1. Maj Ruma defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

1. Maj Ruma scores more
40%
level
29%
Omladinac NB scores more
31%

1. Maj Ruma at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "1. Maj Ruma will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: 1. Maj Ruma vs Omladinac NB

Omladinac NB beat 1. Maj Ruma 4-1 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on April 13, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Maj Ruma in Ruma.