Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

1. FC Nürnberg vs Club Brugge KV — Friendlies Clubs 2026

1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Nürnberg
FT
0 – 3
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
1/10/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Banús Football Center

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

1. FC Nürnberg49%
×Draw22%
Club Brugge KV29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1. FC Nürnberg
2.00
Club Brugge KV
1.50

1. FC Nürnberg creates 33% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

1. FC Nürnberg
2.17
Club Brugge KV
1.50

allows per match

1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Club Brugge KV
1.83

finishing

1. FC Nürnberg+0.00on par
Club Brugge KV+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

1. FC Nürnberg ↓

Club Brugge KV →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

1. FC Nürnberg or draw
71%
1. FC Nürnberg or Club Brugge KV
78%
Draw or Club Brugge KV
51%

Winning margin

1. FC Nürnberg wins by 2+
28%
Club Brugge KV wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

1. FC Nürnberg 1+ goals
86%
1. FC Nürnberg 2+ goals
59%
1. FC Nürnberg 3+ goals
32%
Club Brugge KV 1+ goals
78%
Club Brugge KV 2+ goals
44%
Club Brugge KV 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

1. FC Nürnberg (draw refunded)
63%
Club Brugge KV (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

1. FC Nürnberg at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Club Brugge KV away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

1. FC Nürnberg attack 2.17 + Club Brugge KV defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 2.00

Club Brugge KV attack 1.50 + 1. FC Nürnberg defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

1. FC Nürnberg scores more
49%
level
22%
Club Brugge KV scores more
29%

1. FC Nürnberg at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "1. FC Nürnberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: 1. FC Nürnberg 0–3 Club Brugge KV

Club Brugge KV beat 1. FC Nürnberg 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 10, 2024.

The match was played at Banús Football Center in Marbella.