Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Žilina II vs Lokomotíva Zvolen — 2. liga 2019

Žilina II
Žilina II
Preview
09:30
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
10/25/20262. liga2. liga · Round 14
48%
Žilina II
model favours
48%23%29%

Žilina II win just 25% against the top half (vs 54% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
63%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Žilina II48%
×Draw23%
Lokomotíva Zvolen29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Žilina II
1.85
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.39

Žilina II creates 33% more chances

Season form · 97 home / 30 away

creates per match

Žilina II
2.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17

allows per match

Žilina II
1.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47

finishing

Žilina II+0.00on par
Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Žilina II ↓

Lokomotíva Zvolen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Žilina II or draw
71%
Žilina II or Lokomotíva Zvolen
77%
Draw or Lokomotíva Zvolen
52%

Winning margin

Žilina II wins by 2+
27%
Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Žilina II 1+ goals
84%
Žilina II 2+ goals
55%
Žilina II 3+ goals
28%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals
75%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals
40%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Žilina II (draw refunded)
62%
Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Žilina II at home — creates 2.23, concedes 1.60 · 97 matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.47 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Žilina II attack 2.23 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.85

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.17 + Žilina II defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Žilina II scores more
48%
level
23%
Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more
29%

Žilina II at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Žilina II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • Žilina II sit 13, Lokomotíva Zvolen 2 in the table
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 3.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
II
WWWLD
Zvolen
DDLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Žilina II host Lokomotíva Zvolen

October 25, 2026: Žilina II take on Lokomotíva Zvolen in 2. liga. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.