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Zenit W vs Dinamo Moskva W — Supreme Division Women 2020

Zenit W
Zenit W
Preview
10:00
Dinamo Moskva W
Dinamo Moskva W
9/19/2026Supreme Division WomenSupreme Division Women · Round 20Akademiya Zenit pole 5
Big match
56%
Zenit W
model favours
56%24%20%

Zenit W have won 7 of the last 8 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
52%
under 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Zenit W56%
×Draw24%
Dinamo Moskva W20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zenit W
1.71
Dinamo Moskva W
0.90

Zenit W creates 90% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 44 away

creates per match

Zenit W
2.09
Dinamo Moskva W
1.27

allows per match

Zenit W
0.53
Dinamo Moskva W
1.34

finishing

Zenit W+0.00on par
Dinamo Moskva W+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zenit W ↓

Dinamo Moskva W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Zenit W or draw
80%
Zenit W or Dinamo Moskva W
76%
Draw or Dinamo Moskva W
44%

Winning margin

Zenit W wins by 2+
31%
Dinamo Moskva W wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Zenit W 1+ goals
82%
Zenit W 2+ goals
51%
Zenit W 3+ goals
24%
Dinamo Moskva W 1+ goals
59%
Dinamo Moskva W 2+ goals
23%
Dinamo Moskva W 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Zenit W (draw refunded)
74%
Dinamo Moskva W (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zenit W at home — creates 2.09, concedes 0.53 · 76 matches

Dinamo Moskva W away — creates 1.27, concedes 1.34 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zenit W attack 2.09 + Dinamo Moskva W defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.71

Dinamo Moskva W attack 1.27 + Zenit W defence 0.53 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Zenit W scores more
56%
level
24%
Dinamo Moskva W scores more
20%

Zenit W at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Zenit W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Zenit W win just 47% against the top half (vs 79% against the bottom)
  • Dinamo Moskva W win just 18% against the top half (vs 62% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WDWWW
W
WDWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Zenit W vs Dinamo Moskva W — Match Preview

Zenit W face Dinamo Moskva W on September 19, 2026 in this Supreme Division Women fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Zenit W host Dinamo Moskva W at Akademiya Zenit pole 5.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.