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Zenit 2 vs Torpedo Miass — Second League A - Fall Season Silver 2023

Zenit 2
Zenit 2
Preview
15:00
Torpedo Miass
Torpedo Miass
9/4/2026Second League A - Fall Season SilverSecond League A - Fall Season Silver · Division A Silver - 8
46%
Zenit 2
model favours
46%23%31%

91% of Zenit 2’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Zenit 246%
×Draw23%
Torpedo Miass31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zenit 2
1.74
Torpedo Miass
1.39

Zenit 2 creates 25% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 16 away

creates per match

Zenit 2
2.67
Torpedo Miass
1.00

allows per match

Zenit 2
1.78
Torpedo Miass
0.81

finishing

Zenit 2+0.00on par
Torpedo Miass+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zenit 2 ↓

Torpedo Miass →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Zenit 2 or draw
69%
Zenit 2 or Torpedo Miass
77%
Draw or Torpedo Miass
54%

Winning margin

Zenit 2 wins by 2+
24%
Torpedo Miass wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Zenit 2 1+ goals
82%
Zenit 2 2+ goals
52%
Zenit 2 3+ goals
25%
Torpedo Miass 1+ goals
75%
Torpedo Miass 2+ goals
40%
Torpedo Miass 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Zenit 2 (draw refunded)
60%
Torpedo Miass (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zenit 2 at home — creates 2.67, concedes 1.78 · 9 matches

Torpedo Miass away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.81 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zenit 2 attack 2.67 + Torpedo Miass defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 1.74

Torpedo Miass attack 1.00 + Zenit 2 defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Zenit 2 scores more
46%
level
23%
Torpedo Miass scores more
31%

Zenit 2 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Zenit 2 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 82% of Zenit 2’s matches
  • Zenit 2 and Torpedo Miass have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
2
LLWLW
Miass
DLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Zenit 2 vs Torpedo Miass — Match Preview

Zenit 2 face Torpedo Miass on September 4, 2026 in this Second League A - Fall Season Silver fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.