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Zaglebie Lubin vs Chrobry Głogów — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
Preview
12:00
Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
7/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
44%
Zaglebie Lubin
model favours
44%23%33%

Zaglebie Lubin score first in only 3% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
66%
over 2.5 goals
66%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Zaglebie Lubin44%
×Draw23%
Chrobry Głogów33%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zaglebie Lubin
1.83
Chrobry Głogów
1.55

Zaglebie Lubin creates 18% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 9 away

creates per match

Zaglebie Lubin
1.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.67

allows per match

Zaglebie Lubin
1.44
Chrobry Głogów
2.00

finishing

Zaglebie Lubin+0.00on par
Chrobry Głogów+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zaglebie Lubin ↓

Chrobry Głogów →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Zaglebie Lubin or draw
67%
Zaglebie Lubin or Chrobry Głogów
77%
Draw or Chrobry Głogów
56%

Winning margin

Zaglebie Lubin wins by 2+
24%
Chrobry Głogów wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Zaglebie Lubin 1+ goals
84%
Zaglebie Lubin 2+ goals
54%
Zaglebie Lubin 3+ goals
28%
Chrobry Głogów 1+ goals
79%
Chrobry Głogów 2+ goals
46%
Chrobry Głogów 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Zaglebie Lubin (draw refunded)
57%
Chrobry Głogów (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zaglebie Lubin at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

Chrobry Głogów away — creates 1.67, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zaglebie Lubin attack 1.67 + Chrobry Głogów defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.83

Chrobry Głogów attack 1.67 + Zaglebie Lubin defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Zaglebie Lubin scores more
44%
level
23%
Chrobry Głogów scores more
33%

Zaglebie Lubin at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Zaglebie Lubin will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Chrobry Głogów score first in only 17% of matches
  • Chrobry Głogów have scored in 12 games running
  • 83% of Chrobry Głogów’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Zaglebie Lubin and Chrobry Głogów have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Lubin
LWWWL
Głogów
WLLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Zaglebie Lubin host Chrobry Głogów

July 18, 2026: Zaglebie Lubin take on Chrobry Głogów in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.