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Young Sport Academy vs Stade Renard — Elite One 2019

Young Sport Academy
Young Sport Academy
PST
13:00
Stade Renard
Stade Renard
5/28/2025Elite OneElite One · Round 30Stade Municipal de Mbouda

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

Young Sport Academy39%
×Draw31%
Stade Renard29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Young Sport Academy
1.06
Stade Renard
0.87

Young Sport Academy creates 22% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 96 away

creates per match

Young Sport Academy
1.05
Stade Renard
0.88

allows per match

Young Sport Academy
0.86
Stade Renard
1.07

finishing

Young Sport Academy+0.00on par
Stade Renard+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Young Sport Academy ↓

Stade Renard →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–113%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Young Sport Academy or draw
71%
Young Sport Academy or Stade Renard
69%
Draw or Stade Renard
61%

Winning margin

Young Sport Academy wins by 2+
16%
Stade Renard wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Young Sport Academy 1+ goals
65%
Young Sport Academy 2+ goals
29%
Young Sport Academy 3+ goals
9%
Stade Renard 1+ goals
58%
Stade Renard 2+ goals
22%
Stade Renard 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Young Sport Academy (draw refunded)
57%
Stade Renard (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Young Sport Academy at home — creates 1.05, concedes 0.86 · 79 matches

Stade Renard away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.07 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Young Sport Academy attack 1.05 + Stade Renard defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.06

Stade Renard attack 0.88 + Young Sport Academy defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.87

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Young Sport Academy scores more
39%
level
31%
Stade Renard scores more
29%

Young Sport Academy at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Young Sport Academy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Young Sport Academy vs Stade Renard — Match Preview

Young Sport Academy face Stade Renard on May 28, 2025 in this Elite One fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Young Sport Academy host Stade Renard at Stade Municipal de Mbouda.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.