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Yaypan vs Kattaqurgon — Pro League A 2026

Yaypan
Yaypan
Preview
14:00
Kattaqurgon
Kattaqurgon
10/26/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 24
49%
Kattaqurgon
model favours
24%27%49%

Yaypan and Kattaqurgon have never met before

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
59%
under 2.5 goals
46%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Yaypan24%
×Draw27%
Kattaqurgon49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Yaypan
0.92
Kattaqurgon
1.42

Kattaqurgon creates 54% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Yaypan
1.33
Kattaqurgon
1.00

allows per match

Yaypan
1.83
Kattaqurgon
0.50

finishing

Yaypan+0.00on par
Kattaqurgon+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yaypan ↓

Kattaqurgon →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–114%
0–210%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–09%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
41%59%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Yaypan or draw
51%
Yaypan or Kattaqurgon
73%
Draw or Kattaqurgon
76%

Winning margin

Yaypan wins by 2+
8%
Kattaqurgon wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Yaypan 1+ goals
60%
Yaypan 2+ goals
23%
Yaypan 3+ goals
7%
Kattaqurgon 1+ goals
76%
Kattaqurgon 2+ goals
41%
Kattaqurgon 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Yaypan (draw refunded)
33%
Kattaqurgon (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yaypan at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

Kattaqurgon away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yaypan attack 1.33 + Kattaqurgon defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.92

Kattaqurgon attack 1.00 + Yaypan defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Yaypan scores more
24%
level
27%
Kattaqurgon scores more
49%

Kattaqurgon at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Kattaqurgon will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Yaypan
LLWWL
Kattaqurgon
LWDDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Yaypan host Kattaqurgon

October 26, 2026: Yaypan take on Kattaqurgon in Pro League A. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.