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Yantra 2019 vs Spartak Pleven — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven
G. Stoyanov 60'
D. Mladenov 6'
P. Antonov 12'
1/19/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Yantra 201951%
×Draw26%
Spartak Pleven23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Yantra 2019
1.52
Spartak Pleven
0.94

Yantra 2019 creates 62% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 13 away

creates per match

Yantra 2019
0.89
Spartak Pleven
0.54

allows per match

Yantra 2019
1.33
Spartak Pleven
2.15

finishing

Yantra 2019+0.00on par
Spartak Pleven+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yantra 2019 ↓

Spartak Pleven →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
45%55%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Yantra 2019 or draw
77%
Yantra 2019 or Spartak Pleven
74%
Draw or Spartak Pleven
49%

Winning margin

Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
26%
Spartak Pleven wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Yantra 2019 1+ goals
78%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
45%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
20%
Spartak Pleven 1+ goals
61%
Spartak Pleven 2+ goals
24%
Spartak Pleven 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
68%
Spartak Pleven (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yantra 2019 at home — creates 0.89, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

Spartak Pleven away — creates 0.54, concedes 2.15 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yantra 2019 attack 0.89 + Spartak Pleven defence 2.15 → ÷2 → 1.52

Spartak Pleven attack 0.54 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Yantra 2019 scores more
51%
level
26%
Spartak Pleven scores more
23%

Yantra 2019 at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Yantra 2019 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
D. Mladenov
12'
P. Antonov
60'
G. Stoyanov

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Yantra 2019 vs Spartak Pleven

Yantra 2019 beat Spartak Pleven 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 19, 2024.

Goals: D. Mladenov (6'), P. Antonov (12'), G. Stoyanov (60').