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Yantra 2019 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad — Second League 2018

Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
Preview
15:00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Pirin Blagoevgrad
9/2/2026Second LeagueSecond League · Round 7Stadion Hristo Botev
Big match
40%
Yantra 2019
model favours
40%27%33%

Yantra 2019 score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 76+ matches

Yantra 201940%
×Draw27%
Pirin Blagoevgrad33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Yantra 2019
1.31
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.16

Yantra 2019 creates 13% more chances

Season form · 104 home / 76 away

creates per match

Yantra 2019
1.32
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.30

allows per match

Yantra 2019
1.01
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.30

finishing

Yantra 2019+0.00on par
Pirin Blagoevgrad+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yantra 2019 ↓

Pirin Blagoevgrad →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Yantra 2019 or draw
67%
Yantra 2019 or Pirin Blagoevgrad
73%
Draw or Pirin Blagoevgrad
60%

Winning margin

Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
18%
Pirin Blagoevgrad wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Yantra 2019 1+ goals
73%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
38%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
14%
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1+ goals
69%
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2+ goals
32%
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
55%
Pirin Blagoevgrad (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yantra 2019 at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.01 · 104 matches

Pirin Blagoevgrad away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.30 · 76 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yantra 2019 attack 1.32 + Pirin Blagoevgrad defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.31

Pirin Blagoevgrad attack 1.30 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Yantra 2019 scores more
40%
level
27%
Pirin Blagoevgrad scores more
33%

Yantra 2019 at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Yantra 2019 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 80% of Yantra 2019’s matches
  • 70% of Yantra 2019’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Pirin Blagoevgrad win just 28% against the top half (vs 59% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
2019
DLWLL
Blagoevgrad
LLWLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Yantra 2019 face Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League)

Second League returns with Yantra 2019 hosting Pirin Blagoevgrad. Match starts September 2, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Yantra 2019 host Pirin Blagoevgrad at Stadion Hristo Botev.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.