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Yantra 2019 vs CSKA Sofia II — Second League 2018

Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
Preview
15:00
CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II
5/1/2027Second LeagueSecond League · Round 30Stadion Hristo Botev
39%
Yantra 2019
model favours
39%27%33%

Yantra 2019 score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Yantra 201939%
×Draw27%
CSKA Sofia II33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Yantra 2019
1.29
CSKA Sofia II
1.16

Yantra 2019 creates 11% more chances

Season form · 104 home / 35 away

creates per match

Yantra 2019
1.32
CSKA Sofia II
1.31

allows per match

Yantra 2019
1.01
CSKA Sofia II
1.26

finishing

Yantra 2019+0.00on par
CSKA Sofia II+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yantra 2019 ↓

CSKA Sofia II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Yantra 2019 or draw
67%
Yantra 2019 or CSKA Sofia II
73%
Draw or CSKA Sofia II
61%

Winning margin

Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
18%
CSKA Sofia II wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Yantra 2019 1+ goals
72%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
37%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
14%
CSKA Sofia II 1+ goals
69%
CSKA Sofia II 2+ goals
32%
CSKA Sofia II 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
54%
CSKA Sofia II (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yantra 2019 at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.01 · 104 matches

CSKA Sofia II away — creates 1.31, concedes 1.26 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yantra 2019 attack 1.32 + CSKA Sofia II defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.29

CSKA Sofia II attack 1.31 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Yantra 2019 scores more
39%
level
27%
CSKA Sofia II scores more
33%

Yantra 2019 at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Yantra 2019 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 80% of Yantra 2019’s matches
  • 70% of Yantra 2019’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • CSKA Sofia II win just 24% against the top half (vs 56% against the bottom)
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged just 1.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
2019
DLWLL
II
WDWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Yantra 2019 face CSKA Sofia II (Second League)

Second League returns with Yantra 2019 hosting CSKA Sofia II. Match starts May 1, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Yantra 2019 host CSKA Sofia II at Stadion Hristo Botev.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.