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Wycombe vs Yeovil Town — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Wycombe
Wycombe
Preview
09:00
Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town
7/25/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
Big match
57%
Yeovil Town
model favours
23%20%57%

Both teams score in 100% of Yeovil Town’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
70%
over 2.5 goals
67%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Wycombe23%
×Draw20%
Yeovil Town57%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wycombe
1.38
Yeovil Town
2.25

Yeovil Town creates 63% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

Wycombe
1.50
Yeovil Town
3.25

allows per match

Wycombe
1.25
Yeovil Town
1.25

finishing

Wycombe+0.00on par
Yeovil Town+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wycombe ↓

Yeovil Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–27%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–29%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Wycombe or draw
43%
Wycombe or Yeovil Town
80%
Draw or Yeovil Town
77%

Winning margin

Wycombe wins by 2+
10%
Yeovil Town wins by 2+
35%

Team goals

Wycombe 1+ goals
75%
Wycombe 2+ goals
40%
Wycombe 3+ goals
16%
Yeovil Town 1+ goals
89%
Yeovil Town 2+ goals
65%
Yeovil Town 3+ goals
39%

Draw no bet

Wycombe (draw refunded)
29%
Yeovil Town (draw refunded)
71%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wycombe at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

Yeovil Town away — creates 3.25, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wycombe attack 1.50 + Yeovil Town defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.38

Yeovil Town attack 3.25 + Wycombe defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 2.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Wycombe scores more
23%
level
20%
Yeovil Town scores more
57%

Yeovil Town at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Yeovil Town will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Yeovil Town score first in only 18% of matches
  • 82% of Yeovil Town’s matches go over 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Wycombe
LLWWL
Town
WDWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Wycombe host Yeovil Town

July 25, 2026: Wycombe take on Yeovil Town in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.