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Würzburger FV vs Eintracht Bamberg — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Würzburger FV
Würzburger FV
Preview
13:00
Eintracht Bamberg
Eintracht Bamberg
3/20/2027Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 24
44%
Eintracht Bamberg
model favours
32%24%44%

Eintracht Bamberg raise their game against the top half — 56% wins vs the upper half, only 50% vs the lower

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Würzburger FV32%
×Draw24%
Eintracht Bamberg44%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Würzburger FV
1.40
Eintracht Bamberg
1.67

Eintracht Bamberg creates 19% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 33 away

creates per match

Würzburger FV
1.53
Eintracht Bamberg
1.70

allows per match

Würzburger FV
1.63
Eintracht Bamberg
1.27

finishing

Würzburger FV+0.00on par
Eintracht Bamberg+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Würzburger FV ↓

Eintracht Bamberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Würzburger FV or draw
56%
Würzburger FV or Eintracht Bamberg
76%
Draw or Eintracht Bamberg
68%

Winning margin

Würzburger FV wins by 2+
15%
Eintracht Bamberg wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Würzburger FV 1+ goals
75%
Würzburger FV 2+ goals
41%
Würzburger FV 3+ goals
17%
Eintracht Bamberg 1+ goals
81%
Eintracht Bamberg 2+ goals
50%
Eintracht Bamberg 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Würzburger FV (draw refunded)
42%
Eintracht Bamberg (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Würzburger FV at home — creates 1.53, concedes 1.63 · 68 matches

Eintracht Bamberg away — creates 1.70, concedes 1.27 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Würzburger FV attack 1.53 + Eintracht Bamberg defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.40

Eintracht Bamberg attack 1.70 + Würzburger FV defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Würzburger FV scores more
32%
level
24%
Eintracht Bamberg scores more
44%

Eintracht Bamberg at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Eintracht Bamberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Their last 4 meetings averaged just 1.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
FV
DLWW
Bamberg
LWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Würzburger FV face Eintracht Bamberg (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)

Oberliga - Bayern Nord returns with Würzburger FV hosting Eintracht Bamberg. Match starts March 20, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.