Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wiener Viktoria vs Gloggnitz — Regionalliga - Ost 2018

Wiener Viktoria
Wiener Viktoria
Preview
15:00
Gloggnitz
Gloggnitz
8/29/2026Regionalliga - OstRegionalliga - Ost · Ost - 5
47%
Wiener Viktoria
model favours
47%22%31%

Wiener Viktoria win just 24% against the top half (vs 51% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
70%
over 2.5 goals
69%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

Wiener Viktoria47%
×Draw22%
Gloggnitz31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wiener Viktoria
2.00
Gloggnitz
1.61

Wiener Viktoria creates 24% more chances

Season form · 88 home / 31 away

creates per match

Wiener Viktoria
1.89
Gloggnitz
1.74

allows per match

Wiener Viktoria
1.48
Gloggnitz
2.10

finishing

Wiener Viktoria+0.00on par
Gloggnitz+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wiener Viktoria ↓

Gloggnitz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
70%30%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Wiener Viktoria or draw
69%
Wiener Viktoria or Gloggnitz
78%
Draw or Gloggnitz
53%

Winning margin

Wiener Viktoria wins by 2+
27%
Gloggnitz wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Wiener Viktoria 1+ goals
86%
Wiener Viktoria 2+ goals
59%
Wiener Viktoria 3+ goals
32%
Gloggnitz 1+ goals
80%
Gloggnitz 2+ goals
48%
Gloggnitz 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Wiener Viktoria (draw refunded)
60%
Gloggnitz (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wiener Viktoria at home — creates 1.89, concedes 1.48 · 88 matches

Gloggnitz away — creates 1.74, concedes 2.10 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wiener Viktoria attack 1.89 + Gloggnitz defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 2.00

Gloggnitz attack 1.74 + Wiener Viktoria defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Wiener Viktoria scores more
47%
level
22%
Gloggnitz scores more
31%

Wiener Viktoria at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Wiener Viktoria will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Viktoria
DLLWD
Gloggnitz
WWWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Wiener Viktoria host Gloggnitz

August 29, 2026: Wiener Viktoria take on Gloggnitz in Regionalliga - Ost. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.