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Wick Academy vs Brora Rangers — League #730 2026

Wick Academy
Wick Academy
FT
1 – 7
HT: 0 – 2
Brora Rangers
Brora Rangers
M. MacGregor 66'
T. Dingwall 90+1', 71'
A. Sutherland 64'
A. Macrae 60'
D. Gillespie 58' (pen)
M. Ewan 34'
J. MacRae 20'
2/22/2023League #730League #730 · Highland League - 21Harmsworth Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Wick Academy10%
×Draw14%
Brora Rangers76%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wick Academy
0.96
Brora Rangers
2.90

Brora Rangers creates 202% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 23 away

creates per match

Wick Academy
0.71
Brora Rangers
3.22

allows per match

Wick Academy
2.57
Brora Rangers
1.22

finishing

Wick Academy+0.00on par
Brora Rangers+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wick Academy ↓

Brora Rangers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–16%
0–29%
0–39%
0–46%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–29%
1–38%
1–46%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–24%
2–34%
2–43%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (9%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
53%47%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Wick Academy or draw
24%
Wick Academy or Brora Rangers
86%
Draw or Brora Rangers
90%

Winning margin

Wick Academy wins by 2+
3%
Brora Rangers wins by 2+
56%

Team goals

Wick Academy 1+ goals
62%
Wick Academy 2+ goals
25%
Wick Academy 3+ goals
7%
Brora Rangers 1+ goals
94%
Brora Rangers 2+ goals
78%
Brora Rangers 3+ goals
54%

Draw no bet

Wick Academy (draw refunded)
11%
Brora Rangers (draw refunded)
89%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wick Academy at home — creates 0.71, concedes 2.57 · 7 matches

Brora Rangers away — creates 3.22, concedes 1.22 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wick Academy attack 0.71 + Brora Rangers defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 0.96

Brora Rangers attack 3.22 + Wick Academy defence 2.57 → ÷2 → 2.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 76%?"

Wick Academy scores more
10%
level
14%
Brora Rangers scores more
76%

Brora Rangers at 76% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 76% does not mean "Brora Rangers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'
J. MacRae
34'
M. Ewan
58'
D. GillespiePenalty
60'
A. Macrae
64'
A. Sutherland
66'
M. MacGregor
71'
T. Dingwall
90+1'
T. Dingwall

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #730: Wick Academy 1–7 Brora Rangers

Brora Rangers beat Wick Academy 7-1 in League #730 on February 22, 2023.

Goals: J. MacRae (20'), M. Ewan (34'), D. Gillespie (58' pen), A. Macrae (60'), A. Sutherland (64'), M. MacGregor (66'), T. Dingwall (71', 90+1').

The match was played at Harmsworth Park in Wick.