Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wallsend Red Devils vs West Wallsend — NNSW League 1 2026

Wallsend Red Devils
Wallsend Red Devils
FT
2 – 3
West Wallsend
West Wallsend
3/10/2024NNSW League 1NNSW League 1 · Round 3The Gardens

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Wallsend Red Devils32%
×Draw20%
West Wallsend48%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wallsend Red Devils
1.89
West Wallsend
2.32

West Wallsend creates 23% more chances

Season form · 28 home / 28 away

creates per match

Wallsend Red Devils
1.96
West Wallsend
1.89

allows per match

Wallsend Red Devils
2.75
West Wallsend
1.82

finishing

Wallsend Red Devils+0.00on par
West Wallsend+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wallsend Red Devils ↓

West Wallsend →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–24%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–28%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–36%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

Wallsend Red Devils or draw
52%
Wallsend Red Devils or West Wallsend
80%
Draw or West Wallsend
68%

Winning margin

Wallsend Red Devils wins by 2+
16%
West Wallsend wins by 2+
29%

Team goals

Wallsend Red Devils 1+ goals
85%
Wallsend Red Devils 2+ goals
56%
Wallsend Red Devils 3+ goals
29%
West Wallsend 1+ goals
90%
West Wallsend 2+ goals
67%
West Wallsend 3+ goals
40%

Draw no bet

Wallsend Red Devils (draw refunded)
40%
West Wallsend (draw refunded)
60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
70%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wallsend Red Devils at home — creates 1.96, concedes 2.75 · 28 matches

West Wallsend away — creates 1.89, concedes 1.82 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wallsend Red Devils attack 1.96 + West Wallsend defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.89

West Wallsend attack 1.89 + Wallsend Red Devils defence 2.75 → ÷2 → 2.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Wallsend Red Devils scores more
32%
level
20%
West Wallsend scores more
48%

West Wallsend at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "West Wallsend will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Wallsend Red Devils vs West Wallsend

West Wallsend beat Wallsend Red Devils 3-2 in NNSW League 1 on March 10, 2024.

The match was played at The Gardens in Newcastle.