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Viktoria Plzeň U19 vs České Budějovice U19 — 1. Liga U19 2020

Viktoria Plzeň U19
Viktoria Plzeň U19
Preview
09:00
České Budějovice U19
České Budějovice U19
9/26/20261. Liga U191. Liga U19 · Round 8
Big match
53%
Viktoria Plzeň U19
model favours
53%21%27%

90% of České Budějovice U19’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
72%
over 2.5 goals
70%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

Viktoria Plzeň U1953%
×Draw21%
České Budějovice U1927%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viktoria Plzeň U19
2.20
České Budějovice U19
1.53

Viktoria Plzeň U19 creates 44% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 80 away

creates per match

Viktoria Plzeň U19
2.25
České Budějovice U19
1.77

allows per match

Viktoria Plzeň U19
1.29
České Budějovice U19
2.15

finishing

Viktoria Plzeň U19+0.00on par
České Budějovice U19+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Plzeň U19 ↓

České Budějovice U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Viktoria Plzeň U19 or draw
73%
Viktoria Plzeň U19 or České Budějovice U19
79%
Draw or České Budějovice U19
47%

Winning margin

Viktoria Plzeň U19 wins by 2+
32%
České Budějovice U19 wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Viktoria Plzeň U19 1+ goals
89%
Viktoria Plzeň U19 2+ goals
64%
Viktoria Plzeň U19 3+ goals
37%
České Budějovice U19 1+ goals
78%
České Budějovice U19 2+ goals
45%
České Budějovice U19 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Plzeň U19 (draw refunded)
66%
České Budějovice U19 (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Plzeň U19 at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.29 · 79 matches

České Budějovice U19 away — creates 1.77, concedes 2.15 · 80 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Plzeň U19 attack 2.25 + České Budějovice U19 defence 2.15 → ÷2 → 2.20

České Budějovice U19 attack 1.77 + Viktoria Plzeň U19 defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Viktoria Plzeň U19 scores more
53%
level
21%
České Budějovice U19 scores more
27%

Viktoria Plzeň U19 at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Viktoria Plzeň U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • České Budějovice U19 score first in only 20% of matches
  • České Budějovice U19 have scored in 9 games running
  • České Budějovice U19 win just 30% against the top half (vs 56% against the bottom)
  • Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings
  • Their last 10 meetings averaged 3.9 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U19
WWWDD
U19
LWWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Viktoria Plzeň U19 host České Budějovice U19

September 26, 2026: Viktoria Plzeň U19 take on České Budějovice U19 in 1. Liga U19. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.