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Vietnam vs Singapore — AFF Championship 2018

Vietnam
Vietnam
Preview
12:00
Singapore
Singapore
7/31/2026AFF ChampionshipAFF Championship · Group Stage - 3
67%
Vietnam
model favours
67%20%13%

Vietnam have won 3 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
51%
over 2.5 goals
45%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Vietnam67%
×Draw20%
Singapore13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vietnam
1.98
Singapore
0.73

Vietnam creates 171% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 9 away

creates per match

Vietnam
2.40
Singapore
1.00

allows per match

Vietnam
0.47
Singapore
1.56

finishing

Vietnam+0.00on par
Singapore+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vietnam ↓

Singapore →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–15%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–110%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Vietnam or draw
87%
Vietnam or Singapore
80%
Draw or Singapore
33%

Winning margin

Vietnam wins by 2+
41%
Singapore wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Vietnam 1+ goals
86%
Vietnam 2+ goals
59%
Vietnam 3+ goals
31%
Singapore 1+ goals
52%
Singapore 2+ goals
17%
Singapore 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Vietnam (draw refunded)
84%
Singapore (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vietnam at home — creates 2.40, concedes 0.47 · 15 matches

Singapore away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.56 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vietnam attack 2.40 + Singapore defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.98

Singapore attack 1.00 + Vietnam defence 0.47 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Vietnam scores more
67%
level
20%
Singapore scores more
13%

Vietnam at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Vietnam will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Vietnam
WWWWW
Singapore
LWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Vietnam host Singapore

July 31, 2026: Vietnam take on Singapore in AFF Championship. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.