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Vancouver Rise W vs Calgary Wild W — Northern Super League 2026

Vancouver Rise W
Vancouver Rise W
Preview
23:00
Calgary Wild W
Calgary Wild W
8/8/2026Northern Super LeagueNorthern Super League
Big match
52%
Vancouver Rise W
model favours
52%23%26%

Vancouver Rise W have scored in 8 games running

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Vancouver Rise W52%
×Draw23%
Calgary Wild W26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vancouver Rise W
1.85
Calgary Wild W
1.24

Vancouver Rise W creates 49% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 16 away

creates per match

Vancouver Rise W
1.71
Calgary Wild W
0.88

allows per match

Vancouver Rise W
1.59
Calgary Wild W
2.00

finishing

Vancouver Rise W+0.00on par
Calgary Wild W+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vancouver Rise W ↓

Calgary Wild W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Vancouver Rise W or draw
74%
Vancouver Rise W or Calgary Wild W
77%
Draw or Calgary Wild W
48%

Winning margin

Vancouver Rise W wins by 2+
29%
Calgary Wild W wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Vancouver Rise W 1+ goals
84%
Vancouver Rise W 2+ goals
55%
Vancouver Rise W 3+ goals
28%
Calgary Wild W 1+ goals
71%
Calgary Wild W 2+ goals
35%
Calgary Wild W 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Vancouver Rise W (draw refunded)
67%
Calgary Wild W (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vancouver Rise W at home — creates 1.71, concedes 1.59 · 17 matches

Calgary Wild W away — creates 0.88, concedes 2.00 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vancouver Rise W attack 1.71 + Calgary Wild W defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.85

Calgary Wild W attack 0.88 + Vancouver Rise W defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Vancouver Rise W scores more
52%
level
23%
Calgary Wild W scores more
26%

Vancouver Rise W at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Vancouver Rise W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both sides lean high-scoring (69% and 64% over 2.5)
  • 69% of Vancouver Rise W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Their last 6 meetings averaged 3.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WLLD
W
LLLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Vancouver Rise W host Calgary Wild W

August 8, 2026: Vancouver Rise W take on Calgary Wild W in Northern Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.