Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Valencia vs Eldense — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Valencia
Valencia
Preview
17:00
Eldense
Eldense
7/22/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
45%
Valencia
model favours
45%27%29%

33% of Valencia’s goals come after the 75th minute

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Valencia45%
×Draw27%
Eldense29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Valencia
1.40
Eldense
1.06

Valencia creates 32% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 5 away

creates per match

Valencia
1.00
Eldense
1.80

allows per match

Valencia
0.33
Eldense
1.80

finishing

Valencia+0.00on par
Eldense+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Valencia ↓

Eldense →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
45%55%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Valencia or draw
71%
Valencia or Eldense
73%
Draw or Eldense
55%

Winning margin

Valencia wins by 2+
21%
Eldense wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Valencia 1+ goals
75%
Valencia 2+ goals
41%
Valencia 3+ goals
17%
Eldense 1+ goals
65%
Eldense 2+ goals
29%
Eldense 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Valencia (draw refunded)
61%
Eldense (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Valencia at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

Eldense away — creates 1.80, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Valencia attack 1.00 + Eldense defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.40

Eldense attack 1.80 + Valencia defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Valencia scores more
45%
level
27%
Eldense scores more
29%

Valencia at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Valencia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Valencia
LWWDW
Eldense
LLWDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Valencia vs Eldense — Match Preview

Valencia face Eldense on July 22, 2026 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.