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Universitatea Craiova vs Csikszereda — Liga I 2018

Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
Preview
17:00
Csikszereda
Csikszereda
2/13/2027Liga ILiga I · Round 26Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
66%
Universitatea Craiova
model favours
66%21%13%

Universitatea Craiova are unbeaten in 10 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
45%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Universitatea Craiova66%
×Draw21%
Csikszereda13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Universitatea Craiova
1.94
Csikszereda
0.74

Universitatea Craiova creates 162% more chances

Season form · 156 home / 21 away

creates per match

Universitatea Craiova
1.63
Csikszereda
0.67

allows per match

Universitatea Craiova
0.81
Csikszereda
2.24

finishing

Universitatea Craiova+0.00on par
Csikszereda+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Universitatea Craiova ↓

Csikszereda →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–15%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Universitatea Craiova or draw
87%
Universitatea Craiova or Csikszereda
79%
Draw or Csikszereda
34%

Winning margin

Universitatea Craiova wins by 2+
40%
Csikszereda wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Universitatea Craiova 1+ goals
86%
Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals
58%
Universitatea Craiova 3+ goals
30%
Csikszereda 1+ goals
52%
Csikszereda 2+ goals
17%
Csikszereda 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Universitatea Craiova (draw refunded)
83%
Csikszereda (draw refunded)
17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Universitatea Craiova at home — creates 1.63, concedes 0.81 · 156 matches

Csikszereda away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.24 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Universitatea Craiova attack 1.63 + Csikszereda defence 2.24 → ÷2 → 1.94

Csikszereda attack 0.67 + Universitatea Craiova defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 0.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Universitatea Craiova scores more
66%
level
21%
Csikszereda scores more
13%

Universitatea Craiova at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Universitatea Craiova will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Csikszereda score first in only 27% of matches
  • Universitatea Craiova sit 1, Csikszereda 13 in the table

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Craiova
WDWWD
Csikszereda
LLWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Universitatea Craiova host Csikszereda

February 13, 2027: Universitatea Craiova take on Csikszereda in Liga I. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Universitatea Craiova host Csikszereda at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.