Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Union St. Gilloise vs Patro Eisden — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Preview
11:30
Patro Eisden
Patro Eisden
7/24/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
64%
Union St. Gilloise
model favours
64%19%17%

Union St. Gilloise score first in only 26% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
68%
over 2.5 goals
63%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Union St. Gilloise64%
×Draw19%
Patro Eisden17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Union St. Gilloise
2.38
Patro Eisden
1.17

Union St. Gilloise creates 103% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

Union St. Gilloise
3.60
Patro Eisden
1.33

allows per match

Union St. Gilloise
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.17

finishing

Union St. Gilloise+0.00on par
Patro Eisden+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Union St. Gilloise ↓

Patro Eisden →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Union St. Gilloise or draw
83%
Union St. Gilloise or Patro Eisden
81%
Draw or Patro Eisden
36%

Winning margin

Union St. Gilloise wins by 2+
42%
Patro Eisden wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Union St. Gilloise 1+ goals
91%
Union St. Gilloise 2+ goals
68%
Union St. Gilloise 3+ goals
42%
Patro Eisden 1+ goals
69%
Patro Eisden 2+ goals
33%
Patro Eisden 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Union St. Gilloise (draw refunded)
78%
Patro Eisden (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Union St. Gilloise at home — creates 3.60, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

Patro Eisden away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Union St. Gilloise attack 3.60 + Patro Eisden defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 2.38

Patro Eisden attack 1.33 + Union St. Gilloise defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Union St. Gilloise scores more
64%
level
19%
Patro Eisden scores more
17%

Union St. Gilloise at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Union St. Gilloise will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • When Union St. Gilloise score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Union St. Gilloise win 77% of their home games
  • 38% of Union St. Gilloise’s goals come after the 75th minute

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Gilloise
LWWWW
Eisden
DLDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Union St. Gilloise face Patro Eisden (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Union St. Gilloise hosting Patro Eisden. Match starts July 24, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.