Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Uniao Trabalhadores vs North Esporte — Mineiro - 2 2026

Uniao Trabalhadores
Uniao Trabalhadores
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
North Esporte
North Esporte
Unknown 76'
Daniel Costa 45+3'
5/26/2024Mineiro - 2Mineiro - 2 · Round 5Estádio Zama Maciel

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Uniao Trabalhadores41%
×Draw31%
North Esporte28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Uniao Trabalhadores
1.08
North Esporte
0.84

Uniao Trabalhadores creates 29% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 21 away

creates per match

Uniao Trabalhadores
1.27
North Esporte
0.76

allows per match

Uniao Trabalhadores
0.92
North Esporte
0.90

finishing

Uniao Trabalhadores+0.00on par
North Esporte+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 70Over: 3070%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No: 62Yes: 3862%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Uniao Trabalhadores ↓

North Esporte →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–112%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Uniao Trabalhadores or draw
72%
Uniao Trabalhadores or North Esporte
69%
Draw or North Esporte
59%

Winning margin

Uniao Trabalhadores wins by 2+
17%
North Esporte wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Uniao Trabalhadores 1+ goals
66%
Uniao Trabalhadores 2+ goals
29%
Uniao Trabalhadores 3+ goals
10%
North Esporte 1+ goals
57%
North Esporte 2+ goals
21%
North Esporte 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Uniao Trabalhadores (draw refunded)
59%
North Esporte (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Uniao Trabalhadores at home — creates 1.27, concedes 0.92 · 26 matches

North Esporte away — creates 0.76, concedes 0.90 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Uniao Trabalhadores attack 1.27 + North Esporte defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.08

North Esporte attack 0.76 + Uniao Trabalhadores defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Uniao Trabalhadores scores more
41%
level
31%
North Esporte scores more
28%

Uniao Trabalhadores at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Uniao Trabalhadores will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

45+3'
Daniel Costa
76'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Uniao Trabalhadores vs North Esporte

Uniao Trabalhadores beat North Esporte 2-0 in Mineiro - 2 on May 26, 2024.

Goals: Daniel Costa (45+3'), ? (76').

The match was played at Estádio Zama Maciel in Patos de Minas, Minas Gerais.