Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

União Suzano U20 vs América-SP U20 — Paulista - U20 2026

União Suzano U20
União Suzano U20
Preview
18:00
América-SP U20
América-SP U20
8/7/2026Paulista - U20Paulista - U20 · Round 10
67%
União Suzano U20
model favours
67%19%14%

53% of União Suzano U20’s goals come after the 75th minute

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
62%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

União Suzano U2067%
×Draw19%
América-SP U2014%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

União Suzano U20
2.27
América-SP U20
0.94

União Suzano U20 creates 141% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 3 away

creates per match

União Suzano U20
1.53
América-SP U20
0.67

allows per match

União Suzano U20
1.21
América-SP U20
3.00

finishing

União Suzano U20+0.00on par
América-SP U20+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 62Under: 3862%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 55No: 4555%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

União Suzano U20 ↓

América-SP U20 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

União Suzano U20 or draw
86%
União Suzano U20 or América-SP U20
81%
Draw or América-SP U20
33%

Winning margin

União Suzano U20 wins by 2+
44%
América-SP U20 wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

União Suzano U20 1+ goals
90%
União Suzano U20 2+ goals
66%
União Suzano U20 3+ goals
39%
América-SP U20 1+ goals
61%
América-SP U20 2+ goals
24%
América-SP U20 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

União Suzano U20 (draw refunded)
82%
América-SP U20 (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

União Suzano U20 at home — creates 1.53, concedes 1.21 · 19 matches

América-SP U20 away — creates 0.67, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

União Suzano U20 attack 1.53 + América-SP U20 defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.27

América-SP U20 attack 0.67 + União Suzano U20 defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

União Suzano U20 scores more
67%
level
19%
América-SP U20 scores more
14%

União Suzano U20 at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "União Suzano U20 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • União Suzano U20 and América-SP U20 have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U20
LLLDL
U20
LWLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: União Suzano U20 host América-SP U20

August 7, 2026: União Suzano U20 take on América-SP U20 in Paulista - U20. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.