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UNFP vs RED Star FC 93 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

UNFP
UNFP
Preview
16:00
RED Star FC 93
RED Star FC 93
7/28/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
45%
RED Star FC 93
model favours
34%22%45%

UNFP and RED Star FC 93 have never met before

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
71%
over 2.5 goals
71%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

UNFP34%
×Draw22%
RED Star FC 9345%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

UNFP
1.71
RED Star FC 93
2.00

RED Star FC 93 creates 17% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

UNFP
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.00

allows per match

UNFP
3.00
RED Star FC 93
1.75

finishing

UNFP+0.00on par
RED Star FC 93+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

UNFP ↓

RED Star FC 93 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–28%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

UNFP or draw
55%
UNFP or RED Star FC 93
78%
Draw or RED Star FC 93
66%

Winning margin

UNFP wins by 2+
17%
RED Star FC 93 wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

UNFP 1+ goals
82%
UNFP 2+ goals
51%
UNFP 3+ goals
24%
RED Star FC 93 1+ goals
86%
RED Star FC 93 2+ goals
59%
RED Star FC 93 3+ goals
32%

Draw no bet

UNFP (draw refunded)
43%
RED Star FC 93 (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

UNFP at home — creates 1.67, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

RED Star FC 93 away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

UNFP attack 1.67 + RED Star FC 93 defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.71

RED Star FC 93 attack 1.00 + UNFP defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

UNFP scores more
34%
level
22%
RED Star FC 93 scores more
45%

RED Star FC 93 at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "RED Star FC 93 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
UNFP
LDLDL
93
LDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

UNFP vs RED Star FC 93 — Match Preview

UNFP face RED Star FC 93 on July 28, 2026 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.