Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Transinvest 2 vs Jonava — 1 Lyga 2026

Transinvest 2
Transinvest 2
Preview
12:00
Jonava
Jonava
8/29/20261 Lyga1 Lyga · Round 22
49%
Jonava
model favours
28%23%49%

Jonava score first in only 8% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Transinvest 228%
×Draw23%
Jonava49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Transinvest 2
1.31
Jonava
1.79

Jonava creates 37% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 72 away

creates per match

Transinvest 2
1.13
Jonava
1.32

allows per match

Transinvest 2
2.25
Jonava
1.49

finishing

Transinvest 2+0.00on par
Jonava+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 60Under: 4060%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 61No: 3961%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Transinvest 2 ↓

Jonava →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Transinvest 2 or draw
51%
Transinvest 2 or Jonava
77%
Draw or Jonava
72%

Winning margin

Transinvest 2 wins by 2+
12%
Jonava wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

Transinvest 2 1+ goals
73%
Transinvest 2 2+ goals
38%
Transinvest 2 3+ goals
14%
Jonava 1+ goals
83%
Jonava 2+ goals
53%
Jonava 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Transinvest 2 (draw refunded)
37%
Jonava (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Transinvest 2 at home — creates 1.13, concedes 2.25 · 8 matches

Jonava away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.49 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Transinvest 2 attack 1.13 + Jonava defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.31

Jonava attack 1.32 + Transinvest 2 defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Transinvest 2 scores more
28%
level
23%
Jonava scores more
49%

Jonava at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Jonava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 67% of Jonava’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
2
DLLWL
Jonava
WLLWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Transinvest 2 vs Jonava — Match Preview

Transinvest 2 face Jonava on August 29, 2026 in this 1 Lyga fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.